Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 41.13%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 27.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.74%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.