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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 24
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Kilmarnock logo

Motherwell
1 - 1
Kilmarnock

Bair (38')
Butcher (80'), Spittal (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mayo (13')
Wright (36'), Armstrong (48'), Stewart (80'), Findlay (85'), van Veen (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-2 Hibernian
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock

Games between these two teams have proven to be close this season, and it has been clear that each team knows how to cause problems for the other. Considering the impressive form that Motherwell are enjoying as of late, they could end up sharing the spoils with Kilmarnock. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawKilmarnock
46.84% (0.687 0.69) 25.71% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 27.45% (-0.697 -0.7)
Both teams to score 51.76% (-0.519 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.19% (-0.448 -0.45)51.81% (0.448 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.43% (-0.389 -0.39)73.57% (0.38999999999999 0.39)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.89% (0.12400000000001 0.12)22.11% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.53% (0.187 0.19)55.47% (-0.186 -0.19)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.46% (-0.774 -0.77)33.54% (0.775 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.81% (-0.857 -0.86)70.19% (0.858 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 46.84%
    Kilmarnock 27.45%
    Draw 25.7%
MotherwellDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.19% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.211 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.25% (0.121 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 46.84%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.131 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 27.45%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Kilmarnock
1-0
Motherwell
Cameron (49')
Watson (38'), Lyons (90+5')

Casey (32')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Motherwell
2-1
Kilmarnock
Casey (59'), Paton (90+8')
O'Donnell (43'), Spencer (52'), Slattery (57'), Paton (66'), Casey (71'), McGinn (90+2')
Watkins (12')
Watkins (32'), Deas (66'), Watson (73')
May 6, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Motherwell
2-0
Kilmarnock
Spittal (4'), Van Veen (90+1')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Motherwell
2-2
Kilmarnock
Van Veen (22'), Slattery (60')
McGinn (73' og.), Polworth (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Ross County183691435-2115
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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