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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Dundee United

Motherwell
3 - 2
Dundee Utd

van Veen (5'), Spittal (69'), Johnston (82')
Miller (52'), Blaney (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McGrath (31' pen.), Fletcher (49')

The Match

Match Report

Dundee United are relegated from the Scottish Premiership courtesy of a 3-2 defeat to Motherwell, failing to overturn an unlikely route to safety.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Livingston 1-1 Motherwell
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-3 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 24.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawDundee United
50.92% (-0.821 -0.82) 24.57% (0.216 0.22) 24.51% (0.606 0.61)
Both teams to score 52.68% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (-0.341 -0.34)49.34% (0.34200000000001 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (-0.308 -0.31)71.39% (0.309 0.31)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.62% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)19.38% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.82% (-0.756 -0.76)51.18% (0.757 0.76)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.35% (0.34700000000001 0.35)34.65% (-0.345 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.62% (0.366 0.37)71.37% (-0.364 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 50.91%
    Dundee United 24.51%
    Draw 24.56%
MotherwellDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 11.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 50.91%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 7.12% (0.164 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.112 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.122 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 24.51%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Dundee Utd

Motherwell
71.4%
Draw
0.0%
Dundee United
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
gameweek 32
Motherwell
1-2
Dundee Utd
Van Veen (22')
Butcher (45+1'), Kelly (69'), Casey (84')
Niskanen (63'), McGrath (71' pen.)
Niskanen (28'), Ayina (88'), Birighitti (90+8'), Fletcher (90+7')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
gameweek 13
Dundee Utd
0-1
Motherwell

Watt (40')
Johansen (22')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Motherwell
0-0
Dundee Utd

Slattery (55'), McGinn (69')

McGrath (2')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
gameweek 2
Dundee Utd
1-0
Motherwell
Levitt (37')
Mulgrew (56'), Smith (88'), Sporle (90')

Goss (55'), Mugabi (76'), Slattery (87')
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Dundee Utd
2-0
Motherwell
Levitt (29'), Watt (59')

Slattery (26'), van Veen (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Ross County183691435-2115
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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