We said: Livingston 2-1 Dundee
Livingston will not get many better opportunities to end their lengthy winless streak than a home fixture against a promoted team, especially having benefitted from a full week's rest, which is in contrast to Dundee after their devastating defeat to Hearts on Tuesday.
We can envisage another tight encounter for the visitors, but Livingston have shown some signs of improvements in recent fixtures, and we think that they may finally put all three points on the board.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.