MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 10:13:02| >> :60:2:2:
Ayr United
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Elgin City

Ayr
3 - 0
Elgin


Murdoch (78')
FT

Dolzanski (10'), Dingwall (69')
Ayr win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Ayr United and Elgin City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ayr 3-1 Partick
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Stranraer 2-0 Elgin
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawElgin City
32.92% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 27% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 40.08% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.45% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.24% (0.047999999999995 0.05)54.76% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.93% (0.038 0.04)76.07% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (0.040999999999997 0.04)31.11% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (0.048999999999999 0.05)67.43% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (0.013000000000005 0.01)26.77% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.94% (0.015999999999998 0.02)62.06% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 32.92%
    Elgin City 40.07%
    Draw 27%
Ayr UnitedDrawElgin City
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.91% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 32.92%
1-1 @ 12.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 10.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.44% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 7.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 40.07%

How you voted: Ayr vs Elgin

Ayr United
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Elgin City
20.0%
5
rhs 2.0
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