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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 10
Oct 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
3 - 1
Al Wahda

Saint-Maximin (45+3'), Ibanez (68'), Mahrez (84')
Hindi (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hindi (51' og.)
Ighalo (8'), Duarte (35'), Noor (90+6')
Hejji (90+1')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Wahda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al Ittihad 0-1 Al-Ahli
Friday, October 6 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Wahda

All competitions
Last Game: Al Wahda 1-1 Al Fayha
Saturday, October 7 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Wahda
58.5% (0.349 0.35) 23.13% (-0.127 -0.13) 18.37% (-0.217 -0.22)
Both teams to score 48.6% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.51% (0.20200000000001 0.2)50.49% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.58% (0.181 0.18)72.42% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.03% (0.19799999999999 0.2)16.97% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.93% (0.346 0.35)47.07% (-0.341 -0.34)
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.54% (-0.133 -0.13)41.46% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.03% (-0.118 -0.12)77.97% (0.123 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 58.49%
    Al Wahda 18.37%
    Draw 23.13%
Al-AhliDrawAl Wahda
1-0 @ 12.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.06% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.55% (0.073 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.9% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 58.49%
1-1 @ 10.98% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 23.13%
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 18.37%

Head to Head
Sep 20, 2020 4pm
Group Stage
Al-Ahli
P-P
Al Wahda
Feb 10, 2020 3.35pm
Group Stage
Al Wahda
1-1
Al-Ahli
Chang-woo (90')
Alkarbi (66')
Asiri (60')
Al Mosailem (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal18151257174046
2Al Ittihad18151244172746
3Al-Nassr18115237172038
4Al Quadisiya18122427131438
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli18112532151735
6Al ShababAl Shabab189272621529
7Al Riyadh188462125-428
8Al Khaleej188372524127
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun186661816224
10Damac186482630-422
11Al Ettifaq186482228-622
12Al Kholood185492433-919
13Al Fayha183781427-1316
14Al Okhdood1843112130-915
15Al RaedAl Raed1842122132-1114
16Al Orubah1842121137-2614
17Al WahdaAl Wahda1834112242-2013
18Al Fateh1824121640-2410
> Saudi Pro League Full Table


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