Krylia Sovetov

2 - 0

Fakel

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.