Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 72.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 10.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.21%) and 0-3 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Benfica |
10.45% ( 0.01) | 16.71% ( 0.01) | 72.84% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.89% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.8% ( -0.02) | 39.2% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.46% ( -0.02) | 61.53% ( 0.02) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.95% | 46.05% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.24% | 81.76% ( 0) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.62% ( -0.01) | 9.38% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.43% ( -0.02) | 31.57% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 3.35% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.07% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.79% Total : 10.45% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.83% Total : 16.71% | 0-2 @ 12.09% 0-1 @ 10.21% 0-3 @ 9.54% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.4% ( -0) 0-4 @ 5.65% ( -0) 1-4 @ 4.38% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0) 0-5 @ 2.67% ( -0) 1-5 @ 2.07% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0) 0-6 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 3.81% Total : 72.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |