Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Chaves |
39.6% ( 0.17) | 26.49% ( -0.1) | 33.9% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 52.29% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.48% ( 0.42) | 52.52% ( -0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.82% ( 0.36) | 74.18% ( -0.35) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74% ( 0.29) | 26% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.98% ( 0.39) | 61.02% ( -0.38) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.66% ( 0.17) | 29.34% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.68% ( 0.2) | 65.32% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.59% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |