Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Chaves |
39.6% ( 0.17) | 26.49% ( -0.1) | 33.9% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 52.29% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.48% ( 0.42) | 52.52% ( -0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.82% ( 0.36) | 74.18% ( -0.35) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74% ( 0.29) | 26% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.98% ( 0.39) | 61.02% ( -0.38) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.66% ( 0.17) | 29.34% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.68% ( 0.2) | 65.32% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.59% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |