Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 15, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Chaves1 - 0Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Chaves
Monday, April 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, April 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 0-2 Inter Milan
Tuesday, April 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, April 11 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Chaves 0-2 Benfica
Benfica will set out to restore some pride following their disappointing defeat against Inter Milan. Schmidt's men are currently on a fine run against Chaves, and given the gulf in quality between the two sides, we are backing them to see off the Flavienses. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.33%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 6.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.29%) and 0-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.15%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (2.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Benfica |
6.71% ( -0.36) | 12.96% ( -0.28) | 80.33% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 45.66% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
