MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 04:54:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 30, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Farense logo

Estoril
4 - 0
Farense

Marques (4', 47'), Araujo (45+5'), Parra (78')
Carne (22'), Holsgrove (30')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Falcao (24'), Pastor (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 1-1 Estoril
Sunday, December 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 0-0 Estrela Amadora
Friday, December 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 SC Farense

Estoril's home advantage and recent form give them the edge in this match. However, Farense's defensive solidity, recent away performances and ability to frustrate could see them snatch a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawSC Farense
60.46% (-0.422 -0.42) 20.83% (0.147 0.15) 18.7% (0.278 0.28)
Both teams to score 56.69% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.95% (-0.222 -0.22)40.04% (0.224 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.59% (-0.231 -0.23)62.41% (0.234 0.23)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)12.84% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.8% (-0.392 -0.39)39.2% (0.395 0.39)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (0.166 0.17)34.96% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.3% (0.172 0.17)71.7% (-0.16900000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 60.46%
    SC Farense 18.7%
    Draw 20.83%
Estoril PraiaDrawSC Farense
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.46% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.8% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.49% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.32% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 60.46%
1-1 @ 9.68% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.83%
1-2 @ 5.09% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.48% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 18.7%

How you voted: Estoril vs Farense

Estoril Praia
47.6%
Draw
42.9%
SC Farense
9.5%
21
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon18142251143744
2Benfica18132342113141
3Porto18131441142740
4Braga18104431191234
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1810172019131
6Casa Pia187652222027
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes186842824426
8MoreirenseMoreirense186572225-323
9Gil Vicente185762227-522
10Estoril PraiaEstoril185672130-921
11FamalicaoFamalicao184862024-420
12Rio AveRio Ave185581831-1320
13Nacional185491624-819
14Estrela Amadora1844101630-1416
15AroucaArouca1844101530-1516
16SC FarenseFarense183691123-1215
17AVS182971427-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1826101329-1612


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