Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
42.21% ( -0) | 25.53% ( 0.01) | 32.25% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.96% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.14% ( -0.05) | 48.86% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.04% ( -0.04) | 70.96% ( 0.04) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.98% ( -0.02) | 23.02% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.17% ( -0.03) | 56.83% ( 0.03) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.39% ( -0.03) | 28.6% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.59% ( -0.03) | 64.41% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 42.21% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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