Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 19, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
FT
Tounkara (33'),
Indio (78')
We said: Casa Pia 0-0 Vitoria de Guimaraes
Having scored a combined total of 37 goals across 40 league outings this season, Casa Pia and Vitoria de Guimaraes look destined to produce a low-scoring encounter on Sunday.
Furthermore, only the top two teams in the division – Benfica and Porto – have conceded fewer goals this term, so we expect Casa Pia and Vitoria to play out a goalless draw.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.37% . A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (8.28%) . The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
Result Casa Pia Draw Vitoria de Guimaraes 29.37% ( 0.13) 28.26% ( 0.03) 42.37% ( -0.15)
Both teams to score 45.52% ( -0.02)
39.64% ( -0.05) 60.36% ( 0.05)
19.49% ( -0.03) 80.51% ( 0.04)
63.37% ( 0.07) 36.63% ( -0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.58% ( 0.07) 73.42% ( -0.07)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
71.83% ( -0.1) 28.17% ( 0.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.15% ( -0.13) 63.85% ( 0.14)
Casa Pia 29.37%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 42.37%
Draw 28.25%
Casa Pia Draw Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 29.37% 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.25% 0-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 42.37%
How you voted: Casa Pia vs Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Draw
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
32.1%
28
rhs 2.0
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