MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 22:28:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 6
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
4 - 0
Newry City AFC

O'Neill (4'), Ives (41', 76'), Glynn (43')
Donnelly (7'), Orozco (15')
FT(HT: 3-0)

O'Connor (7'), Forde (64'), Healy (66')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Newry City AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cliftonville 1-1 Larne
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-4 Crusaders
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 70.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 11.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawNewry City AFC
70.05% (0.093000000000004 0.09) 18.33% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 11.63% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 47.37% (-0.185 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.6% (-0.116 -0.12)43.4% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.21% (-0.115 -0.12)65.8% (0.11999999999999 0.12)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.81% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)11.2% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.29% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)35.71% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.35% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)46.66% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.78% (-0.154 -0.15)82.23% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Larne 70.04%
    Newry City AFC 11.63%
    Draw 18.33%
LarneDrawNewry City AFC
2-0 @ 12.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-0 @ 11.43% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.14% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.82% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.67% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 70.04%
1-1 @ 8.72% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.22% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 18.33%
0-1 @ 3.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 3.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 11.63%

Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 3pm
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Larne
2-0
Newry City AFC
Sule (12'), Cosgrove (49')
Oct 7, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Newry City AFC
0-2
Larne
Millar (60'), Randall (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield21152440162447
2PortadownPortadown2010462819934
3GlentoranGlentoran2110472620634
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2110382724333
5CliftonvilleCliftonville209472821731
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena20100102525030
7CrusadersCrusaders208392427-327
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon2147101730-1319
12Loughgall2134142251-2913


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