Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.