Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maidenhead United | Draw | Chesterfield |
23.29% ( -0.08) | 24.85% ( -0.02) | 51.86% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 50.5% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.42% ( -0.02) | 51.58% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.63% ( -0.01) | 73.37% ( 0.02) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.02% ( -0.08) | 36.98% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.23% ( -0.09) | 73.76% ( 0.09) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.12% ( 0.03) | 19.88% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.01% ( 0.05) | 51.99% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Maidenhead United | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 23.29% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.79% Total : 51.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 63 |
2 | York City | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 57 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 48 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 45 |
7 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 42 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 39 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 39 |
13 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
15 | Tamworth | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 26 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
22 | Fylde | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 30 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 21 | 67 | -46 | 12 |
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