Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | New York Red Bulls | 19 | 7 | 32 |
2 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 9 | 30 |
3 | CF Montreal | 18 | 1 | 29 |
Tuesday, July 5 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Toronto | 18 | -10 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 16 | -8 | 17 |
9 | Chicago Fire | 18 | -8 | 17 |
We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 DC United
While DC United enjoyed an emphatic victory in their most recent outing, that does not mean that they are the favourites heading into this fixture. Philadelphia Union have the chance to potentially finish this weekend as the league leaders, and that is something that they are unlikely to throw away. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | DC United |
60.75% ( 3.08) | 22.62% ( -1.3) | 16.62% ( -1.78) |
Both teams to score 46.86% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.91% ( 2.39) | 51.08% ( -2.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.06% ( 2.06) | 72.94% ( -2.06) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.6% ( 1.95) | 16.39% ( -1.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.95% ( 3.42) | 46.04% ( -3.42) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.05% ( -0.78) | 43.95% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.92% ( -0.65) | 80.08% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | DC United |
1-0 @ 13.02% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.66) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.43) 4-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.48) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.18) Other @ 1.88% Total : 60.73% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.57) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.72) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.62% | 0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.73) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.56% Total : 16.62% |
How you voted: Philadelphia vs DC United
Eastern Conference
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Western Conference
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |