Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
