Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 3-1 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.