We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 CF Montreal
It may be the warm climate of California or some psychological issue, but Montreal have struggled with the playing surfaces and conditions in the City of Angeles, failing to beat either LA squad away from home.
Their leaky defence still needs work, but we anticipate that the Galaxy's attacking quality will make up for those shortcomings on Monday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 23.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
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