Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 49.18%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.