Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chateauroux win with a probability of 35.3%. A win for Pau had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chateauroux win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.17%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (12.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.