Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Metz | 37 | -29 | 31 |
19 | Saint-Etienne | 37 | -35 | 31 |
20 | Bordeaux | 37 | -41 | 28 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Lorient | 37 | -28 | 35 |
18 | Metz | 37 | -29 | 31 |
19 | Saint-Etienne | 37 | -35 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Saint-Etienne in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Saint-Etienne.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Metz |
41.94% | 26.92% | 31.14% |
Both teams to score 50.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.11% | 54.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.82% | 76.18% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.16% | 25.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.19% | 60.81% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.6% | 32.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.09% | 68.92% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 7.67% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.94% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.37% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |