Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
St Etienne3 - 1Montpellier
We said: Saint-Etienne 2-2 Montpellier HSC
The upgrades for Les Verts during the transfer window should provide this team with a much-needed spark, however it might take some time for all of those newcomers to learn a new style of play, while also building chemistry with their new teammates. La Paillade have been clinical in the final third, though they have allowed their share of goals on the road this season as well, conceding three on three separate occasions in this domestic campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 36.66% | 26.41% | 36.94% |
| Both teams to score 52.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
