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Ligue 1
Rennes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Route de Lorient
Marseille

Rennes
0 - 1
Marseille


Doue (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kolasinac (57')
Balerdi (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Rennes
Sunday, February 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-2 Annecy (6-7 pen.)
Wednesday, March 1 at 8pm in Coupe de France

We said: Rennes 2-1 Marseille

 Rennes are out of the Europa League and must now focus on Ligue 1 matters if they are to secure a European berth once again, with an assignment against Marseille a real test of their top-five credentials. Marseille have suffered a damaging week in their hunt for silverware this season and need to return to winning ways in order to close the gap on PSG, but we see them losing out at Roazhon Park on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Marseille in this match.

Result
RennesDrawMarseille
28.46% (-0.111 -0.11) 26.28% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 45.25% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 50.68% (-0.103 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)53.54% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94% (-0.087 -0.09)75.05% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)33.68% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (-0.152 -0.15)70.33% (0.148 0.15)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41%23.58% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.34% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)57.65% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 28.46%
    Marseille 45.25%
    Draw 26.28%
RennesDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 8.64% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 28.46%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 11.47% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 8.29% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.99% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.44% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.25%

How you voted: Rennes vs Marseille

Rennes
39.6%
Draw
14.4%
Marseille
45.9%
111
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2023 8.10pm
Round of 32
Marseille
1-0
Rennes
Guendouzi (59')
Balerdi (45')

Wooh (8'), Traore (73')
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Marseille
1-1
Rennes
Guendouzi (52')
Guendouzi (25' og.)
Traore (7')
May 14, 2022 8pm
Rennes
2-0
Marseille
Bourigeaud (12'), Majer (35')
Tait (27')

Sampaoli (27'), Caleta-Car (64'), Gueye (70')
Sep 19, 2021 4pm
Marseille
2-0
Rennes
Dieng (48'), Harit (71')
Sampaoli (33')

Bade (44'), Santamaria (64'), Genesio (65')
Mar 10, 2021 6pm
Marseille
1-0
Rennes
Cuisance (88')
Caleta-Car (32'), Kamara (79')

Camavinga (33'), Aguerd (41'), Nyamsi (45+1'), Genesio (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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