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Ligue 1
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Lille

Nice
2 - 2
Lille

Diop (56'), Louchet (90+6')
Clauss (37'), Diop (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
M (17'), Bakker (66')
David (86'), Gomes (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 2-2 FC Twente
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Juventus
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Nice 1-1 Lille

 The most drawn Ligue 1 fixture of the last 20 years looks devilishly difficult to predict once again, with both clubs on impressive unbeaten runs domestically, and pushing for the top four. Genesio has never beaten Haise as a manager in five previous meetings, and while Lille will certainly be competitive, it is tough to separate the two, and yet another draw between these sides looks on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Nice had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
NiceDrawLille
34.96% (0.103 0.1) 26.32% (0.026 0.03) 38.72% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 53.02% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.34% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)51.66% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.56% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)73.44% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (0.019000000000005 0.02)28.27% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.02% (0.024000000000001 0.02)63.98% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (-0.111 -0.11)26.08% (0.115 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)61.14% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Nice 34.96%
    Lille 38.72%
    Draw 26.31%
NiceDrawLille
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.89% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.96%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 9.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 38.72%

How you voted: Nice vs Lille

Nice
31.7%
Draw
41.7%
Lille
26.7%
60
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 34
Lille
2-2
Nice
Arnar Haraldsson (55'), Andre (73')
Arnar Haraldsson (58'), Alexsandro (61'), Andre (90+1')
Zhegrova (90+8')
Laborde (10'), Lotomba (90+3')
Claude-Maurice (64'), Thuram (76'), Bulka (90+11')
> Preview
Aug 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 1
Nice
1-1
Lille
Laborde (18')
Atal (35'), Laborde (45+2'), Thuram (55')
Diakite (90+4')
Arnar Haraldsson (38'), Santos (45+3')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 20
Nice
1-0
Lille
Laborde (34')
> Preview
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Lille
1-2
Nice
Bamba (20')
Delort (22' pen.), Pepe (29' pen.)
> Preview
May 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 37
Nice
1-3
Lille
Kluivert (31')
Lotomba (45'), Kluivert (90+1'), Galtier (90+2')
David (52', 61'), Weah (90+4')
Gudmundsson (12'), Gomes (66'), Weah (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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