MX23RW : Monday, December 2 07:11:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Lille

Nice
2 - 2
Lille

Diop (56'), Louchet (90+6')
Clauss (37'), Diop (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
M (17'), Bakker (66')
David (86'), Gomes (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 2-2 FC Twente
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Juventus
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Nice 1-1 Lille

The most drawn Ligue 1 fixture of the last 20 years looks devilishly difficult to predict once again, with both clubs on impressive unbeaten runs domestically, and pushing for the top four. Genesio has never beaten Haise as a manager in five previous meetings, and while Lille will certainly be competitive, it is tough to separate the two, and yet another draw between these sides looks on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Nice had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
NiceDrawLille
34.96% (0.103 0.1) 26.32% (0.026 0.03) 38.72% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 53.02% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.34% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)51.66% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.56% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)73.44% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (0.019000000000005 0.02)28.27% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.02% (0.024000000000001 0.02)63.98% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (-0.111 -0.11)26.08% (0.115 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)61.14% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Nice 34.96%
    Lille 38.72%
    Draw 26.31%
NiceDrawLille
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.89% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.96%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 9.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 38.72%

How you voted: Nice vs Lille

Nice
31.7%
Draw
41.7%
Lille
26.7%
60
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 34
Lille
2-2
Nice
Arnar Haraldsson (55'), Andre (73')
Arnar Haraldsson (58'), Alexsandro (61'), Andre (90+1')
Zhegrova (90+8')
Laborde (10'), Lotomba (90+3')
Claude-Maurice (64'), Thuram (76'), Bulka (90+11')
Aug 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 1
Nice
1-1
Lille
Laborde (18')
Atal (35'), Laborde (45+2'), Thuram (55')
Diakite (90+4')
Arnar Haraldsson (38'), Santos (45+3')
Jan 29, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 20
Nice
1-0
Lille
Laborde (34')
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Lille
1-2
Nice
Bamba (20')
Delort (22' pen.), Pepe (29' pen.)
May 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 37
Nice
1-3
Lille
Kluivert (31')
Lotomba (45'), Kluivert (90+1'), Galtier (90+2')
David (52', 61'), Weah (90+4')
Gudmundsson (12'), Gomes (66'), Weah (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG13103037112633
2Marseille1382329171226
3MonacoMonaco1382322121026
4Lille136522113823
5Lyon136432317622
6Nice135532416820
7Lens135531512320
8Auxerre136162121019
9Reims135352018218
10Toulouse135351514118
11Brest135171923-416
12Rennes134271819-114
13StrasbourgStrasbourg133462227-513
14Angers133461421-713
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne134181130-1913
16Le HavreLe Havre134091024-1412
17NantesNantes132561520-511
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier132291334-218


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