Everything is caving in for Hutter's Monaco at present, and even though they would like to prioritise the upcoming second leg in the Champions League against Benfica, they must place huge emphasis on this fixture, with their top-four spot in doubt.
Brest are the only team to have beaten Nantes since November, and while Kombouare's side hardly set the world alight, they can be tricky customers, especially for an out-of-form outfit like Monaco.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 51.84%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
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