Pumas

3 - 1

Pachuca

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.