MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 18:34:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 6
Feb 10, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
3 - 3
Toluca

Cambindo (27', 89'), Garnica (43')
Fentanes (31'), Paradela (73')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Meneses (6'), Belmonte (68'), Unsain (77' og.)
Pereira (30'), Vega (58')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juarez 2-2 Necaxa
Saturday, February 3 at 11.06pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Herediano 1-2 Toluca
Wednesday, February 7 at 11pm in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
NecaxaDrawToluca
31.95% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 24.89% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 43.17% (-0.158 -0.16)
Both teams to score 57.01% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.86% (-0.274 -0.27)46.14% (0.279 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.57% (-0.261 -0.26)68.44% (0.265 0.27)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)27.46% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)62.95% (0.102 0.1)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (-0.188 -0.19)21.4% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.6% (-0.292 -0.29)54.4% (0.296 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 31.95%
    Toluca 43.17%
    Draw 24.89%
NecaxaDrawToluca
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.072 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 31.95%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.069 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 9.06% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.99% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.64% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 43.17%

Head to Head
Jul 2, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Toluca
0-0
Necaxa
Baeza (36'), Morales (70')
Gonzalez (10'), Poggi (52'), Formiliano (64'), Esquivel (64')
Apr 30, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 17
Toluca
3-0
Necaxa
Fernandez (31' pen.), Gonzalez (52'), Volpi (71' pen.)
Jul 2, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 1
Necaxa
1-3
Toluca
Formiliano (39')
Araos (54'), Mendez (68'), Villalpando (74')
Fernandez (3'), Huerta (24'), Sanvezzo (69' pen.)
Fernandez (25'), Volpi (32'), Baeza (49')
Mar 5, 2022 1am
Oct 21, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810


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