Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 1.06am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan (Mazatlan)
Mazatlan1 - 0Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Necaxa 4-0 Mazatlan
Sunday, November 5 at 10pm in Liga MX
Sunday, November 5 at 10pm in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-1 Toluca
Monday, November 6 at 12.05am in Liga MX
Monday, November 6 at 12.05am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.72%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mazatlan | Draw | Toluca |
36.04% ( 0.28) | 23.37% ( 0.36) | 40.59% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 63.72% ( -1.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
