MX23RW : Saturday, December 28 00:17:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Nov 1, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
0 - 1
Puebla


Araujo (31'), Ruiz (76'), Baeza (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martinez (78' pen.)
de Buen (45'), Baltazar (89')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 3-1 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, October 29 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 1-1 Puebla
Sunday, October 29 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 55.56%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 23.47% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.34%) and 1-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawPuebla
55.56% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 20.98% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 23.47% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.84% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.93% (0.064999999999998 0.06)34.07% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.06% (0.073 0.07)55.94% (-0.073 -0.07)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65% (0.021999999999991 0.02)12.35% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.83% (0.042999999999999 0.04)38.17% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (0.045000000000002 0.05)27.17% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.43% (0.059000000000005 0.06)62.57% (-0.058 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 55.56%
    Puebla 23.47%
    Draw 20.98%
TolucaDrawPuebla
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.02% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 4.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 55.56%
1-1 @ 9.14% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.89% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 20.98%
1-2 @ 5.96%
0-1 @ 4.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.85% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 23.47%

Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 2.05am
Gameweek 14
Puebla
1-2
Toluca
Waller (75')
Lopez (8'), Volpi (15' pen.)
Aug 3, 2022 2am
Gameweek 16
Toluca
1-1
Puebla
Mosquera (83')
Fernandez (17')
Apr 3, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 12
Toluca
2-1
Puebla
Castaneda (19'), Huerta (45')
Ortega (47'), Baeza (75'), Sierra (78'), Garcia (81'), Sanvezzo (90+5')
Reyes (45+3')
Robles (39'), Barragan (90+5')
Nov 6, 2021 1am
Gameweek 17
Puebla
1-0
Toluca
Tabo (60' pen.)
Mar 21, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 11
Toluca
4-4
Puebla
Estrada (32', 87'), Canelo (53' pen.), Rigonato Rodrigues (77')
Ortega (18'), Baeza (46'), Rigonato Rodrigues (90+3')
Ormeno (57' pen.), Segovia (60'), Aguilar (86'), Alvarez (89')
Gularte (30'), Larcamon (79')
Gularte (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810


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