Liga MX | Gameweek 9
Sep 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca1 - 1America
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club America.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tijuana 2-1 Toluca
Saturday, September 16 at 4am in Liga MX
Saturday, September 16 at 4am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Queretaro 1-2 America
Thursday, September 21 at 3.06am in Liga MX
Thursday, September 21 at 3.06am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
18
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toluca | Draw | Club America |
28.52% ( 0.34) | 23.56% ( 0.19) | 47.92% ( -0.53) |
Both teams to score 59.62% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.16% ( -0.63) | 41.84% ( 0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.75% ( -0.64) | 64.24% ( 0.64) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.41% ( -0.09) | 27.59% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.88% ( -0.11) | 63.12% ( 0.11) |
Club America Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.33% ( -0.44) | 17.66% ( 0.44) |