Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 4am UK
Estadio Olimpico de Universitario
Pumas1 - 1Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pumas and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pachuca 1-1 Pumas
Monday, July 17 at 3.15am in Liga MX
Monday, July 17 at 3.15am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-4 Juarez
Sunday, July 16 at 7pm in Liga MX
Sunday, July 16 at 7pm in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Pumas | Draw | Toluca |
43.24% ( -0.02) | 24.03% ( -0) | 32.73% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 60.36% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.11% ( 0.03) | 41.89% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.7% ( 0.02) | 64.3% ( -0.02) |
Pumas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.4% | 19.6% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.45% ( 0) | 51.54% ( -0) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.08% ( 0.03) | 24.92% ( -0.03) |