MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 08:16:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Apr 16, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Olímpico de Universitario

Pumas
3 - 1
Toluca

Dinenno (1'), Huerta (38'), Salvio (44' pen.)
Ortiz (30'), Dinenno (33'), Rivas (47')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Gonzalez (31' pen.)
Venegas (32'), Angulo (45+3'), Meneses (55'), Araujo (63'), Mosquera (79')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pumas and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pumas

All competitions
Last Game: Pumas 3-1 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, April 9 at 7pm in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Puebla 1-2 Toluca
Saturday, April 8 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
PumasDrawToluca
36.72% (0.207 0.21) 25.37% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 37.92% (-0.19 -0.19)
Both teams to score 56.44% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.65% (0.077999999999996 0.08)47.35% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.43% (0.071999999999999 0.07)69.57% (-0.071000000000012 -0.07)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.8% (0.15299999999999 0.15)25.2% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.07% (0.207 0.21)59.93% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)24.54% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.98% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)59.02% (0.095000000000006 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Pumas 36.72%
    Toluca 37.92%
    Draw 25.36%
PumasDrawToluca
1-0 @ 8.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.88% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.79% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 36.72%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.69% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.1% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 37.92%

Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 3.05am
Toluca
2-2
Pumas
Meneses (65', 77')
Dinenno (36'), Jose Gonzalez (90+6')
Jan 11, 2022 3am
Pumas
5-0
Toluca
Rogerio (31', 64'), Diogo (61'), Ruvalcaba (69'), Meritao (81')
Diogo (59'), Ortiz (75'), Talavera (77')

Rodriguez (38'), Sartiaguin (53')
Nov 21, 2021 11pm
Toluca
1-2
Pumas
Ortega (62' pen.)
Sambueza (2'), Estrada (23'), Garcia (83'), Chavez (90+6')
Lopez (16'), Dinenno (50')
Diogo (21'), Lopez (31'), Lira (34'), Dinenno (82'), Ortiz (85'), Corozo (90+8')
Aug 29, 2021 6pm
Toluca
2-1
Pumas
Sambueza (20'), Canelo (70')
Lopez (15'), Rigonato Rodrigues (68'), Canelo (72'), Garcia (83')
Dinenno (8' pen.)
Garcia Hernandez (56'), Lopez (56')
Mozo (15'), Garcia Hernandez (75'), Dinenno (90+7')
Feb 14, 2021 6pm
Toluca
1-0
Pumas
Canelo (88')
Barbieri (46')

Alvarez (41'), Torres (55'), Vasquez (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul1513113692740
2TolucaToluca1595133141932
3Tigres159332213930
4MonterreyMonterrey168442418628
5Atletico San Luis158252518726
6PumasPumas157441813525
7Club TijuanaTijuana157442123-225
8Club AmericaAmerica157352516924
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara156452214822
10Atlas155551521-620
11Club Leon153842021-117
12PueblaPuebla1642101629-1314
13NecaxaNecaxa153481925-613
14PachucaPachuca153481926-713
15MazatlanMazatlan152761018-813
16Juarez1541102035-1513
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna152491025-1510
18QueretaroQueretaro1523101027-179
> Liga MX Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!