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Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Mar 6, 2023 at 1.05am UK
Estadio La Corregidora

Queretaro
1 - 0
Toluca

Torres (31')
Rivera (23'), Barbieri (46'), Balanta (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Garcia (49')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Queretaro and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queretaro

All competitions
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Queretaro
Saturday, February 25 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 2-0 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, February 26 at 6pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
QueretaroDrawToluca
34.2% (-0.357 -0.36) 25.55% (0.179 0.18) 40.24% (0.177 0.18)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-0.686 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.53% (-0.855 -0.86)48.46% (0.853 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.4% (-0.786 -0.79)70.59% (0.782 0.78)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (-0.622 -0.62)27.18% (0.619 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.4% (-0.82 -0.82)62.59% (0.817 0.82)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (-0.291 -0.29)23.83% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.99% (-0.418 -0.42)58% (0.416 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Queretaro 34.2%
    Toluca 40.24%
    Draw 25.55%
QueretaroDrawToluca
1-0 @ 8.44% (0.148 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.2%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.246 0.25)
1-2 @ 8.68% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.66% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.15% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.19% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 40.24%

Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 6pm
Toluca
4-1
Queretaro
Fernandez (29' pen.), Navarro (45+2'), Sanvezzo (57' pen., 77')
Nahuelpan (63')
Mendoza (26')
Feb 25, 2022 3.05am
Queretaro
1-1
Toluca
Perg (10')
Mendoza (48'), Torres (73'), Aguerre (87'), Cabrera (90+3')
Hernandez (64')
Fernandez (90+5')
Samudio (45+4')
Oct 3, 2021 6pm
Toluca
1-1
Queretaro
Chavez (63')
Samudio (35'), Juan Vazquez (45+3'), Sambueza (90+2')
Dos Santos (87')
Olivera (26'), Vera (45+4')
Jan 10, 2021 6pm
Toluca
3-1
Queretaro
Castaneda (31'), Canelo (32'), Estrada (62')
Baeza (17')
Sepulveda (23' pen.)
Magallanes (37'), Rea (51'), Madrigal (66'), Pablo Meza (76')
Sep 4, 2020 1am
Queretaro
4-1
Toluca
Madrigal (13'), Silveira (18' pen.), Garcia (52' og.), Sepulveda (69')
Rea (81')
Guemez (77')
Sauro (18'), Sartiaguin (58'), Cisneros (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


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