Liga MX | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca5 - 0Pachuca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Pachuca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toluca 1-0 Monterrey
Thursday, August 31 at 2am in Liga MX
Thursday, August 31 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 0-2 Atletico San Luis
Tuesday, August 29 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Tuesday, August 29 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 41%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toluca | Draw | Pachuca |
35.86% ( 1.79) | 23.13% ( -0.56) | 41% ( -1.23) |
Both teams to score 64.6% ( 2.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.27% ( 3.18) | 36.73% ( -3.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.11% ( 3.37) | 58.89% ( -3.37) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.19% ( 2.41) | 20.81% ( -2.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.53% ( 3.65) | 53.47% ( -3.65) |
Pachuca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.57% ( 0.79) | 18.43% ( -0.79) |