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Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Mar 13, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
0 - 3
Pachuca


Castaneda (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Alfonso Guzman Guzman (12'), Ibanez (70'), Moreno (85')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Pachuca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Club Leon 4-4 Toluca
Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Next Game: Necaxa vs. Toluca
Saturday, July 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 Atlas
Monday, May 30 at 2.10am in Liga MX
Next Game: Pachuca vs. Queretaro
Tuesday, July 5 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawPachuca
32.44%25.76%41.8%
Both teams to score 54.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.22%49.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.22%71.78%
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06%28.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18%64.82%
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37%23.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29%57.71%
Score Analysis
    Toluca 32.44%
    Pachuca 41.8%
    Draw 25.76%
TolucaDrawPachuca
1-0 @ 8.48%
2-1 @ 7.58%
2-0 @ 5.26%
3-1 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 2.26%
3-0 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 32.44%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 6.84%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 9.86%
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-2 @ 7.12%
1-3 @ 4.25%
0-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.24%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 41.8%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2021 3am
Pachuca
1-2
Toluca
Alvarez (14')
Angel Herrera (37'), Sanchez (64')
Gonzalez (32'), Rigonato Rodrigues (89')
Ortega (45+2')
Mar 14, 2021 6pm
Toluca
0-2
Pachuca

Barbieri (44'), Rigonato Rodrigues (56'), Torres (90+1')
Barbieri (72')
De la Rosa (83'), Chavez (90+2' pen.)
Garcia (8'), Pardo (23')
Sep 25, 2020 3am
Pachuca
0-0
Toluca

Medina (6'), Castaneda (81')
Mar 22, 2020 1am
Oct 27, 2019 6pm
Toluca
2-0
Pachuca
Hernandez (52'), Pardo (85')
Hernandez (89')

Davila (50'), Cabral (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Lions
34-17
Bears
FT
Browns
6-24
Bengals
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Bills
FT
Titans
30-38
Colts
FT
Giants
7-34
Falcons
FT
Rams
19-9
Jets
FT
Cardinals
30-36
Panthers
FT
Eagles
33-36
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810


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