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Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Mar 3, 2024 at 1.05am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
3 - 0
Guadalajara

Faravelli (7'), Uriel (27', 33')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Gonzalez (78'), Briseno (81')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 1-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, February 25 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-1 Pumas
Sunday, February 25 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawCD Guadalajara
43.33% (-0.63699999999999 -0.64) 26.25% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 30.41% (0.577 0.58)
Both teams to score 51.86% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.48% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)52.52% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.81% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)74.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (-0.319 -0.32)24.07% (0.323 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.65% (-0.459 -0.46)58.35% (0.462 0.46)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.3% (0.40700000000001 0.41)31.7% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.88% (0.463 0.46)68.12% (-0.459 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 43.33%
    CD Guadalajara 30.41%
    Draw 26.25%
Cruz AzulDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 10.86% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 43.33%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 8.77% (0.104 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.114 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.75% (0.067 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.41%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 16
Guadalajara
1-0
Cruz Azul
Padilla (90+7')
Gutierrez (39')

Castano (41'), Sepulveda (68'), Ditta (90+2')
Apr 23, 2023 2.05am
Gameweek 16
Guadalajara
2-1
Cruz Azul
Uriel (37')
Oct 2, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 17
Cruz Azul
2-1
Guadalajara
Uriel (45+2'), Estrada (90+3')
Flores (69')
Apr 17, 2022 3am
Gameweek 14
Cruz Azul
0-1
Guadalajara
Calderon (58')
Oct 24, 2021 3am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810


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