Jagiellonia3 - 1Panevezys
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, July 27 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Tuesday, July 23 at 4.30pm in Champions League
We said: Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-1 Panevezys
Given their significant advantage heading into this one, Jagiellonia can afford to take their foot off the gas a bit but they will be keen to put on a show on home turf. We are tipping the hosts to carry the day at the end of the 90 minutes here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Panevezys had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Panevezys win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Jagiellonia Bialystok in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Jagiellonia Bialystok.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Panevezys |
57.52% ( 0.22) | 22.52% ( -0.1) | 19.96% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
