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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

Dortmund
3 - 1
Frankfurt

Adeyemi (33'), Hummels (81'), Can (90+3' pen.)
Can (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gotze (13')
Buta (80'), Koch (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 2-0 PSV
Wednesday, March 13 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt

These sides have lost just once each in nine league games apiece since returning from the winter break in January, so we expect to witness a high quality affair when they meet on Sunday. Ordinarily, we would make Dortmund favourites to win this match, but Frankfurt will be fresher having already been eliminated from continental competition. We can envisage both teams being content with sharing the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52.51%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawEintracht Frankfurt
52.51% (-0.357 -0.36) 21.77% (0.148 0.15) 25.72% (0.209 0.21)
Both teams to score 63.55% (-0.326 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.43% (-0.51900000000001 -0.52)35.57% (0.519 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.37% (-0.576 -0.58)57.63% (0.576 0.58)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.23% (-0.292 -0.29)13.77% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.93% (-0.579 -0.58)41.07% (0.58000000000001 0.58)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.7% (-0.127 -0.13)26.3% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.57% (-0.169 -0.17)61.43% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 52.51%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 25.72%
    Draw 21.77%
Borussia DortmundDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.18% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.2% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.08% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-3 @ 0.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 52.51%
1-1 @ 9.59% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.35% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.62% (0.094 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.77%
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.052 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.84% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 25.72%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Frankfurt

Borussia Dortmund
75.0%
Draw
21.3%
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.8%
80
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Frankfurt
3-3
Dortmund
Marmoush (8' pen., 24'), Chaibi (68')
Marmoush (41'), Buta (45+8'), Pacho (52')
Sabitzer (45+1'), Moukoko (54'), Brandt (82')
Ozcan (11'), Adeyemi (76'), Terzic (90+3')
Apr 22, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Dortmund
4-0
Frankfurt
Bellingham (19'), Malen (24', 66'), Hummels (41')
Oct 29, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Frankfurt
1-2
Dortmund
Kamada (26')
Brandt (21'), Bellingham (52')
Jan 8, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Frankfurt
2-3
Dortmund
Borre (15', 24')
Hinteregger (87'), Chandler (88'), Borre (90+4')
Hazard (71'), Bellingham (87'), Dahoud (89')
Braut Haaland (87'), Hazard (90+5')
Aug 14, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Dortmund
5-2
Frankfurt
Reus (23'), Hazard (32'), Braut Haaland (34', 70'), Reyna (58')
Passlack (27' og.), Petter Hauge (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Broncos
@
Saints
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern64202071314
2RB Leipzig642092714
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt6411149513
4Freiburg640297212
5Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen63211612411
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin632164211
7Borussia DortmundDortmund63121211110
8Stuttgart6231151149
9Heidenheim630310829
10Mainz 05Mainz6222111018
11Werder Bremen6222812-48
12Wolfsburg6213131217
13Augsburg6213915-67
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach6204710-36
15St Pauli611449-54
16Hoffenheim61141016-64
17Holstein Kiel6024919-102
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum6015614-81


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