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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Dortmund logo

Union Berlin
0 - 2
Dortmund


Haberer (75'), Vertessen (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeyemi (41'), Maatsen (90')
Ryerson (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Borussia Dortmund

Dortmund have found things a little hard-going of late, and a surprise home defeat last week may have dented confidence slightly ahead of a fixture against in-form opponents. Union's early-season troubles have been left long in the past, and their steady rise up the table could continue this weekend with another positive result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBorussia Dortmund
35.95% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 24.88% (0.0020000000000024 0) 39.17% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.12% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.84% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)45.17% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)67.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.61% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.88%59.12% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)22.91% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)56.67% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 35.95%
    Borussia Dortmund 39.17%
    Draw 24.87%
Union BerlinDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 7.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 35.95%
1-1 @ 11.64%
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.87%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-1 @ 8.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.12%
1-3 @ 4.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.11%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.17%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Dortmund

Union Berlin
Draw
Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin
19.4%
Draw
20.9%
Borussia Dortmund
59.7%
67
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Dortmund
4-2
Union Berlin
Fullkrug (7'), Schlotterbeck (49'), Brandt (54'), Ryerson (71')
Hummels (30')
Gosens (9'), Bonucci (31' pen.)
Gosens (64')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Dortmund
2-1
Union Berlin
Malen (28'), Moukoko (79')
Behrens (61')
Oct 16, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 10
Union Berlin
2-0
Dortmund
Haberer (8', 21')
Feb 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Union Berlin
0-3
Dortmund

Baumgartl (35'), Mohwald (76'), Knoche (90+2'), Schafer (90+5')
Reus (18', 25'), Guerreiro (71')
Brandt (39')
Sep 19, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 5
Dortmund
4-2
Union Berlin
Guerreiro (10'), Braut Haaland (24', 83'), Friedrich (52' og.)
Hummels (50'), Witsel (57')
Kruse (57' pen.), Voglsammer (81')
Friedrich (15'), Giesselmann (50'), Ryerson (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2510784439537
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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