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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 69.56%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 13.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
69.56% ( -0.01) | 17.17% ( 0) | 13.27% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.07% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.53% ( -0) | 33.46% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.74% ( -0) | 55.25% ( 0) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.33% ( -0.01) | 8.66% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.15% ( -0.01) | 29.85% ( 0.01) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.48% ( 0.01) | 37.52% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.7% ( 0.01) | 74.3% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.53% 1-0 @ 7.95% 3-0 @ 7.93% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.77% 4-0 @ 4.85% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.75% 3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.33% 5-1 @ 2.33% 5-2 @ 1.14% 6-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) 6-1 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 69.56% | 1-1 @ 7.79% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.21% Total : 17.17% | 1-2 @ 3.82% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.19% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.56% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.93% Total : 13.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |