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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Stevenage |
28.76% ( 0.33) | 25.63% ( 0.16) | 45.61% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 52.89% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.24% ( -0.47) | 50.75% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.35% ( -0.41) | 72.65% ( 0.41) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.01% ( 0) | 31.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.55% ( 0) | 68.45% ( -0) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.77% ( -0.42) | 22.23% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.34% ( -0.63) | 55.66% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.76% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 45.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
14 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
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