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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
39.94% ( -1.43) | 26.52% ( 0.12) | 33.54% ( 1.31) |
Both teams to score 52.12% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.31% ( -0.2) | 52.69% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.67% ( -0.17) | 74.33% ( 0.16) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.1% ( -0.85) | 25.89% ( 0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.12% ( -1.15) | 60.88% ( 1.15) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.33% ( 0.76) | 29.66% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.28% ( 0.92) | 65.71% ( -0.92) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.34% Total : 39.93% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
14 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
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