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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 28
Feb 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Harrogate Town

Crawley
1 - 3
Harrogate

Dallison (54')
Nichols (32')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Martin (13'), March (30' pen.), Power (45+3')
McPake (42')
Smith (67')

The Match

Match Report

Former reality TV star Mark Wright made his first start for Crawley but was replaced at half-time of a 3-1 defeat.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawHarrogate Town
41.92%25.82%32.26%
Both teams to score 54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9%50.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93%72.07%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29%23.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.17%57.83%
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.78%29.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.83%65.16%
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 41.92%
    Harrogate Town 32.26%
    Draw 25.81%
Crawley TownDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 7.18%
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.92%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.93%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.52%
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 5.24%
1-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 32.26%

Head to Head
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Harrogate
1-1
Crawley
Muldoon (85')
Kerry (54')
Watters (27')
Dallison (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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