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League One | Gameweek 40
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Crown Ground
Gillingham

Accrington
1 - 2
Gillingham

Bishop (90+1' pen.)
Adedoyin (62'), Sykes (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kelman (64'), Oliver (73')
Thompson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Rotherham
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Gillingham

Given the contrasting home and away records of the respective teams, there should only be one winner on Saturday. However, with the stakes and desire far higher in the visitors dressing room, we are predicting an hard-earned share of the spoils for Gillingham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawGillingham
54.74%24.06%21.2%
Both teams to score 50.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.4%50.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.49%72.51%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63%18.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.5%49.5%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.54%38.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.79%75.21%
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 54.74%
    Gillingham 21.2%
    Draw 24.06%
Accrington StanleyDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 11.97%
2-0 @ 10.14%
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 5.47%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-0 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 54.74%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 7.07%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 6.75%
1-2 @ 5.47%
0-2 @ 3.23%
1-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 21.2%

How you voted: Accrington vs Gillingham

Accrington Stanley
47.6%
Draw
26.2%
Gillingham
26.2%
42
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 15, 2020 5.30pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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