Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
31% | 27.17% | 41.83% |
Both teams to score 49.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.1% | 55.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.99% | 77.01% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.97% | 33.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.38% | 69.62% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.64% | 26.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.49% | 61.51% |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 7.12% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.53% Total : 31% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 11.6% 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 7.74% 1-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.13% Total : 41.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |