Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 46.97%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Valencia |
24.84% | 28.19% | 46.97% |
Both teams to score 42.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.72% | 62.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.06% | 81.94% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.44% | 41.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.95% | 78.05% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.34% | 26.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.09% | 61.91% |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 5.65% 2-0 @ 4.27% 3-1 @ 1.65% 3-0 @ 1.25% 3-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.19% Total : 24.84% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 3.73% Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 14.64% 0-2 @ 9.68% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-3 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-4 @ 1.41% 1-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.84% Total : 46.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |