Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Elche had a probability of 13.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.71%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Elche |
64.29% | 22.33% | 13.37% |
Both teams to score 40.53% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.42% | 55.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.25% | 76.74% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.24% | 16.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.31% | 46.69% |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.69% | 51.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.45% | 85.55% |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Elche |
1-0 @ 15.35% 2-0 @ 13.71% 2-1 @ 9.15% 3-0 @ 8.17% 3-1 @ 5.45% 4-0 @ 3.65% 4-1 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 1.82% 5-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.23% Total : 64.27% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 8.6% 2-2 @ 3.05% Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.33% | 0-1 @ 5.74% 1-2 @ 3.42% 0-2 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.3% Total : 13.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |