Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Alaves |
38.47% | 28.98% | 32.55% |
Both teams to score 44.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38% | 61.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.27% | 81.73% |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.78% | 31.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.44% | 67.56% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.87% | 35.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.12% | 71.88% |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 12.76% 2-1 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 7.43% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.02% Total : 38.46% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.97% | 0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 6% 1-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.14% Total : 32.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |